Muay Thai

🥊

Anucha Kiatbusaba vs Sombat Sitsongpeenong: who wins at MAX Muay Thai?

Fight card resolution market.

64.7%

Jul 5, 12:25 PM

฿477.7K total volume 96 comments

AI Summary

Updated 2h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 65%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent form and camp reports.

Confidence in current pricing69%

Bull case

  • Recent form and camp reports points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Reach and weight class history could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent form and camp reportsReach and weight class history

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Comments

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🐢

Thanawat Peeranan· 7h

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

🐉

Suchada Suksawat· 13h

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

🦜

Preecha Chaiyaporn· 2d

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

GIF
🌊

Patcharee Lohachai· 3d

This aged... not great

1 replies
🐘

Napat Phromwong· 3d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

9 replies