Muay Thai

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Nattawut Lookprabaht vs Sombat Sitsongpeenong: who wins at Rajadamnern Stadium?

Fight card resolution market.

46.7%

Jul 5, 12:32 PM

฿792.7K total volume 86 comments

AI Summary

Updated 36m ago

Pricing currently favors No at 47%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent form and camp reports.

Confidence in current pricing72%

Bull case

  • Recent form and camp reports points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Reach and weight class history could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent form and camp reportsReach and weight class history

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