Muay Thai

🥊

Panupong Sitchefboontham vs Sombat Sitsongpeenong: who wins at MAX Muay Thai?

Fight card resolution market.

68.4%

Jul 5, 12:30 PM

฿585.5K total volume 51 comments

AI Summary

Updated 26m ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 68%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent form and camp reports.

Confidence in current pricing78%

Bull case

  • Recent form and camp reports points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Reach and weight class history could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent form and camp reportsReach and weight class history

Related markets

Comments

🪷
🏝️

Pimchanok Lohachai· 1h

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

🦜

Sirikorn Lohachai· 7h

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🌾

Anong Ruangrit· 7h

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🎏

Busaba Phromwong· 18h

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

🛕

Nutthida Peeranan· 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

3 replies
🦜

Preecha Chaiyaporn· 1d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

2 replies
☀️

Napat Peeranan· 1d

This is way too high, fading this all day

2 replies
🎆

Waraporn Srisawat· 1d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

5 replies
🥁

Yupa Aksorn· 1d

This aged... not great

3 replies
🌶️

Benyapa Chotirosseranee· 1d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

🌙

Chayapa Kittiya· 2d

market's asleep on this one, free money

🦜

Suchada Wongsawang· 2d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

4 replies
🛕

Ratana Boonmee· 2d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

1 replies
🏵️

Ampai Srisawat· 2d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🏯

Chanya Kittiya· 2d

Bought more on the dip

🥭

Ampai Kanjanapas· 2d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

🎆

Thanawat Kittiya· 2d

This aged well

🐘

Duangjai Kittiya· 2d

This aged well

3 replies
🛺

Suriya Chotirosseranee· 2d

market's asleep on this one, free money

🌊

Sakda Tantivejkul· 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🦜

Suchada Wongsawang· 3d

This is way too high, fading this all day

🦋

Somsak Sombat· 3d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🐢

Ittipol Suriyachai· 3d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here