Muay Thai

🥊

Rungrit Wor.Watthana vs Sombat Sitsongpeenong: who wins at Rajadamnern Stadium?

Fight card resolution market.

52.1%

Jul 5, 12:26 PM

฿487.2K total volume 133 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 52%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent form and camp reports.

Confidence in current pricing85%

Bull case

  • Recent form and camp reports points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Reach and weight class history could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent form and camp reportsReach and weight class history

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Comments

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🦋

Duangjai Sirikaya· 6h

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

🛺

Weerapong Ruangrit· 7h

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

2 replies
🏵️

Ampai Srisawat· 11h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

2 replies
🐘

Napat Phromwong· 11h

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🍜

Panupong Thongchai· 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

🌶️

Patcharee Amnuay· 1d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

🛺

Weerapong Ruangrit· 1d

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

GIF
🐅

Chanya Sombat· 1d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🏵️

Ampai Srisawat· 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

4 replies
☀️

Napat Peeranan· 2d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

🐅

Chanya Sombat· 3d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🌶️

Benyapa Chotirosseranee· 3d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this