Business

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Will the SET Index close above 1466 by month end?

Stock Exchange of Thailand tracker.

48.0%

Jul 5, 12:29 PM

เธฟ2.4M total volume 50 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 48%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being foreign fund flows.

Confidence in current pricing64%

Bull case

  • Foreign fund flows points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Regional market sentiment could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Foreign fund flowsRegional market sentiment

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Comments

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Sakda Tantivejkulยท 2d

This aged... not great

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Ladda Suksawatยท 3d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

GIF
8 replies