Business

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Will the SET Index close above 1448 by month end?

Stock Exchange of Thailand tracker.

43.0%

Jul 5, 12:28 PM

เธฟ1.4M total volume 87 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 43%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being foreign fund flows.

Confidence in current pricing83%

Bull case

  • Foreign fund flows points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Regional market sentiment could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Foreign fund flowsRegional market sentiment

Related news

KKhaosod Englishยท 19h

Here's what changed overnight on will the SET Index close above 1448 by month end

Independent analysts remain divided, citing conflicting signals from the last two weeks of reporting.

Will the SET Index close above 1448 by month end?43%

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Comments

๐Ÿชท
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Anong Ruangritยท 3h

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

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Suchada Suksawatยท 1d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

GIF
5 replies
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Somsak Sombatยท 1d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

GIF
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Weerapong Wongsawangยท 1d

Bought more on the dip

3 replies
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Patcharee Pattaranutapornยท 1d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

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Chalermchai Lohachaiยท 1d

This is way too high, fading this all day

GIF
๐Ÿฆ‹

Patcharee Jaideeยท 1d

This aged well

3 replies
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Apinya Boonmeeยท 2d

Bought more on the dip

3 replies
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Chanya Sombatยท 2d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

1 replies
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Somchai Jaideeยท 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

3 replies
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Malee Sombatยท 3d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

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Somsak Sombatยท 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

GIF
3 replies
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Chotiwut Sombatยท 3d

market's asleep on this one, free money