Tourism

🛂

Will the visa-free stay extension to 60 days be renewed past its review date?

Immigration policy tracker.

70.0%

Jul 5, 12:32 PM

฿491.3K total volume 231 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 70%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being tourism industry lobbying.

Confidence in current pricing87%

Bull case

  • Tourism industry lobbying points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Prior extension track record could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Tourism industry lobbyingPrior extension track record

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🛂Tourism

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Comments

🪷
🎏

Napat Rattanakosin· 4h

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

🐅

Chanya Sombat· 1d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

🐢

Thanawat Peeranan· 2d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

🐅

Nirun Ruangrit· 3d

Bought more on the dip

1 replies