Football

๐Ÿด

Will Arsenal finish in the Premier League top 4 this season?

Thailand's EPL fandom market.

47.0%

Jul 5, 12:28 PM

เธฟ59.6M total volume 282 comments

AI Summary

Updated 54m ago

Pricing currently favors No at 47%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being current league position.

Confidence in current pricing93%

Bull case

  • Current league position points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Run-in fixture difficulty could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Current league positionRun-in fixture difficulty

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Comments

๐Ÿชท
๐Ÿ˜

Somchai Jaideeยท 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

๐ŸŒถ๏ธ

Patcharee Amnuayยท 2d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

๐Ÿœ

Arthit Kanjanapasยท 2d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

2 replies
๐Ÿต๏ธ

Teerapat Nakornthapยท 3d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

9 replies
๐Ÿ…

Nirun Ruangritยท 3d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

2 replies