Football

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Will the Thailand War Elephants qualify for the next AFF Championship final?

National team tournament tracker.

59.0%

Jul 5, 12:43 PM

฿4.5M total volume 63 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 59%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being squad form in warmup matches.

Confidence in current pricing91%

Bull case

  • Squad form in warmup matches points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Group draw difficulty could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Squad form in warmup matchesGroup draw difficulty

Related markets

Comments

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🌾

Anucha Pattaranutaporn· 1h

This aged well

🍜

Panupong Thongchai· 3h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

GIF
🥁

Kamon Chotirosseranee· 15h

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🦋

Chalermchai Lohachai· 21h

This aged well

10 replies
🐘

Somchai Jaidee· 21h

Volume just spiked, something's moving

🛺

Weerapong Ruangrit· 22h

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

2 replies
🐘

Suchada Amnuay· 1d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

1 replies
🌊

Kamon Thongchai· 1d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

3 replies
🏯

Chanya Kittiya· 1d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

8 replies
🥁

Yupa Maneerat· 1d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🛺

Suriya Chotirosseranee· 1d

This aged well

2 replies
🥭

Worawit Jaidee· 1d

Bought more on the dip

🥁

Pongsakorn Chotirosseranee· 1d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

GIF
🦜

Sirikorn Lohachai· 2d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

🎆

Chalermchai Kittiya· 2d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

🐘

Pongsakorn Chaiyaporn· 2d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

🌊

Kamon Thongchai· 2d

This aged... not great

5 replies
🍜

Panupong Thongchai· 2d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

10 replies
🎆

Kamon Thongchai· 2d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

3 replies
🎆

Waraporn Srisawat· 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

8 replies
🥁

Yupa Aksorn· 2d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🐅

Nirun Ruangrit· 2d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

3 replies
🍜

Waraporn Srisawat· 2d

This aged well

3 replies
🥭

Ampai Kanjanapas· 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🐉

Suchada Suksawat· 2d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

🎆

Thanawat Kittiya· 3d

market's asleep on this one, free money

🐅

Chanya Sombat· 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

🛺

Suchada Srisawat· 3d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🎋

Kritsada Praditpong· 3d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

🏯

Panupong Praditpong· 3d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me