Football

๐Ÿด

Will Chelsea finish in the Premier League top 4 this season?

Thailand's EPL fandom market.

49.0%

Jul 5, 12:25 PM

เธฟ30.2M total volume 303 comments

AI Summary

Updated 2h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 49%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being current league position.

Confidence in current pricing61%

Bull case

  • Current league position points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Run-in fixture difficulty could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Current league positionRun-in fixture difficulty

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Comments

๐Ÿชท
๐Ÿ๏ธ

Pimchanok Lohachaiยท 5h

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

๐Ÿ›บ

Suriya Chotirosseraneeยท 1d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

๐Ÿต๏ธ

Sakda Rattanakosinยท 2d

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

GIF
๐Ÿฆ‹

Duangjai Sirikayaยท 3d

Bought more on the dip

8 replies
๐Ÿ›บ

Suriya Chotirosseraneeยท 3d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

1 replies
๐Ÿชท

Suriya Wongprasertยท 3d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

GIF
1 replies