Bangkok

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Will average Sukhumvit condo prices rise quarter-over-quarter?

Property market tracker.

43.0%

Jul 5, 12:36 PM

เธฟ45.8K total volume 247 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 43%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being foreign buyer demand.

Confidence in current pricing88%

Bull case

  • Foreign buyer demand points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Interest rate trajectory could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Foreign buyer demandInterest rate trajectory

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Comments

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Suriya Chotirosseraneeยท 8h

Feels like a coinflip honestly

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Orawan Kanjanapasยท 19h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

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Pongsakorn Chaiyapornยท 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

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Ladda Jaideeยท 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

10 replies
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Chalermchai Kittiyaยท 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

3 replies
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Napat Peerananยท 1d

Bought more on the dip

8 replies
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Suriya Chotirosseraneeยท 3d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

5 replies