Business

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Will BYD overtake Tesla in Thailand EV market share this quarter?

EV adoption race.

46.0%

Jul 5, 12:27 PM

เธฟ297.7K total volume 260 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 46%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being new model launches.

Confidence in current pricing74%

Bull case

  • New model launches points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Government EV subsidy changes could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
New model launchesGovernment EV subsidy changes

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Comments

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Suriya Wongprasertยท 1d

Bought more on the dip

1 replies
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Chayapa Kittiyaยท 1d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

1 replies
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Busaba Phromwongยท 1d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

7 replies
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Worawit Pattaranutapornยท 2d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

๐Ÿ›บ

Suchada Srisawatยท 2d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

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Kwan Lohachaiยท 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

GIF
๐Ÿฅ

Kamon Chotirosseraneeยท 3d

Feels like a coinflip honestly