Business

๐Ÿงฎ

Will Kasikornbank beat analyst earnings estimates next quarter?

Earnings season tracker.

37.0%

Jul 5, 12:31 PM

เธฟ349.8K total volume 203 comments

AI Summary

Updated 2h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 37%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being guidance from the prior quarter.

Confidence in current pricing62%

Bull case

  • Guidance from the prior quarter points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Sector-wide demand trends could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Guidance from the prior quarterSector-wide demand trends

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Comments

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Patcharee Amnuayยท 2d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

2 replies
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Napat Rattanakosinยท 2d

This is way too high, fading this all day

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Suchada Amnuayยท 2d

Bought more on the dip

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Pongsakorn Chaiyapornยท 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

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Anucha Aksornยท 3d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

1 replies