Bangkok

🏙️

Will average Sukhumvit condo prices rise quarter-over-quarter?

Property market tracker.

62.0%

Jul 5, 12:28 PM

฿83.6K total volume 103 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 62%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being foreign buyer demand.

Confidence in current pricing64%

Bull case

  • Foreign buyer demand points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Interest rate trajectory could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Foreign buyer demandInterest rate trajectory

Related news

TThai PBS World· 2d

Traders react as odds shift on: Will average Sukhumvit condo prices rise quarter-over-quarter?

Fresh data released this morning has traders re-pricing the outlook, with volume up sharply in the last few hours.

Will average Sukhumvit condo prices rise quarter-over-quarter?62%

Related markets

🚈Bangkok

Will the BTS Gold Line extension open to the public before its latest deadline?

Yes64%+1
No36%+2
฿778.3K vol
226
🚈Bangkok

Will the BTS Gold Line extension open to the public before its latest deadline?

Yes64%+4
No36%+1
฿638.9K vol
249
🌫️Bangkok

Will Bangkok's PM2.5 index exceed 'unhealthy' levels on New Year's Eve?

Yes72%-5
No28%+1
฿606.7K vol
190
🌫️BangkokAI

Will Bangkok's PM2.5 index exceed 'unhealthy' levels on New Year's Eve?

Yes42%+0
No58%+2
฿568.4K vol
87
🚈Bangkok

Will the BTS Orange Line extension open to the public before its latest deadline?

Yes55%-1
No45%+5
฿513.8K vol
84

Comments

🪷
🎆

Teerapat Praditpong· 6h

This aged... not great

🌊

Patcharee Lohachai· 10h

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

🐉

Ladda Suksawat· 21h

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

10 replies
🦜

Worawit Pattaranutaporn· 1d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

🏝️

Nirun Nakornthap· 1d

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

🎆

Chalermchai Kittiya· 2d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

2 replies
🐢

Thanawat Peeranan· 2d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

2 replies
🎆

Worawit Boonmee· 2d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

GIF
🏵️

Sakda Rattanakosin· 2d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

🐉

Suchada Suksawat· 2d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

🦜

Worawit Pattaranutaporn· 3d

This aged well

🛺

Weerapong Ruangrit· 3d

This aged well

🥭

Rungnapha Suksawat· 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

1 replies
🌾

Anucha Pattaranutaporn· 3d

This is way too high, fading this all day

2 replies