Thailand Politics

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Will Finance Minister Wichai Tantivejkul survive a no-confidence motion this session?

Parliamentary vote outcome.

64.0%

Jul 5, 12:35 PM

฿670.8K total volume 119 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 64%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being whip discipline within the coalition.

Confidence in current pricing79%

Bull case

  • Whip discipline within the coalition points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Opposition unity on the motion could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Whip discipline within the coalitionOpposition unity on the motion

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Comments

🪷
🎋

Kritsada Praditpong· 2h

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

1 replies
🐘

Somchai Jaidee· 10h

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

🥭

Worawit Jaidee· 19h

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

3 replies
🐢

Preecha Ruangrit· 1d

market's asleep on this one, free money

🌊

Orawan Kanjanapas· 1d

This is way too high, fading this all day

GIF
2 replies
🏵️

Patcharee Pattaranutaporn· 1d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

🐢

Preecha Ruangrit· 1d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🥁

Kamon Chotirosseranee· 2d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

🦜

Worawit Pattaranutaporn· 2d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🥭

Worawit Jaidee· 2d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

🐉

Suchada Sombat· 2d

This aged well

🏵️

Teerapat Nakornthap· 2d

This is way too high, fading this all day

GIF
🐢

Suchada Charoenkul· 2d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

2 replies
🏝️

Preecha Tantivejkul· 2d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

1 replies
🌊

Sakda Tantivejkul· 2d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

GIF
2 replies
🦋

Duangjai Sirikaya· 2d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

🐅

Nirun Ruangrit· 2d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

🐢

Suchada Charoenkul· 2d

This is way too high, fading this all day

🥁

Pongsakorn Chotirosseranee· 3d

This aged well

🦜

Preecha Chaiyaporn· 3d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

🐉

Duangjai Tantivejkul· 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

1 replies
🐉

Ladda Jaidee· 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

🎋

Kritsada Praditpong· 3d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

GIF
🥁

Yupa Aksorn· 3d

This aged well

3 replies
🐉

Duangjai Tantivejkul· 4d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

3 replies
🍜

Arthit Kanjanapas· 4d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

3 replies
🎏

Napat Rattanakosin· 4d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this