Economy

🧾

Will headline inflation stay within the BOT's 1-3% target band this month?

CPI print watch.

56.0%

Jul 5, 12:43 PM

฿453K total volume 258 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 56%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being energy price pass-through.

Confidence in current pricing83%

Bull case

  • Energy price pass-through points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Food price base effects could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Energy price pass-throughFood price base effects

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Comments

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🥭

Duangjai Amnuay· 11h

market's asleep on this one, free money

🍜

Arthit Kanjanapas· 17h

Bought more on the dip

🎋

Nichakan Amnuay· 19h

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

GIF
1 replies
🏝️

Apinya Thongchai· 2d

This is way too high, fading this all day

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Pimchanok Chaiyaporn· 2d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

GIF
9 replies
🛕

Ratana Boonmee· 3d

This is way too high, fading this all day

3 replies
🎆

Teerapat Praditpong· 3d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

🏵️

Pimchanok Chaiyaporn· 4d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+