Festivals

๐ŸŽ‰

Will Lopburi Monkey Buffet Festival draw a record crowd this year?

Attendance versus last year.

63.0%

Jul 5, 12:41 PM

เธฟ743.8K total volume 81 comments

AI Summary

Updated 2h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 63%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being ticket pre-sale pace.

Confidence in current pricing67%

Bull case

  • Ticket pre-sale pace points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Weather forecast for festival dates could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Ticket pre-sale paceWeather forecast for festival dates

Related markets

๐ŸŽ‰Festivals

Will Bun Bang Fai Rocket Festival draw a record crowd this year?

Yes55%+1
No45%+0
เธฟ771.6K vol
232
๐ŸŽ‰FestivalsAI

Will Yi Peng Lantern Festival draw a record crowd this year?

Yes37%+4
No63%+1
เธฟ704.1K vol
234
๐ŸŽ‰FestivalsAI

Will Loy Krathong draw a record crowd this year?

Yes46%+5
No54%+3
เธฟ663.8K vol
255
๐ŸŽ‰FestivalsAI

Will Bangkok Design Week draw a record crowd this year?

Yes60%+3
No40%-4
เธฟ596.4K vol
105
๐ŸŽ‰Festivals

Will Wonderfruit Festival draw a record crowd this year?

Yes51%-3
No49%-4
เธฟ560.6K vol
314

Comments

๐Ÿชท
๐ŸŽ†

Kamon Thongchaiยท 18h

Volume just spiked, something's moving

๐Ÿ›บ

Weerapong Ruangritยท 2d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

2 replies
๐Ÿข

Preecha Ruangritยท 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

2 replies
๐Ÿ›บ

Weerapong Ruangritยท 3d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

GIF
1 replies