Festivals

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Will Bangkok Design Week draw a record crowd this year?

Attendance versus last year.

60.0%

Jul 5, 12:41 PM

เธฟ596.4K total volume 105 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 60%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being ticket pre-sale pace.

Confidence in current pricing94%

Bull case

  • Ticket pre-sale pace points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Weather forecast for festival dates could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Ticket pre-sale paceWeather forecast for festival dates

Related news

TThe Nationยท 1d

New data moves the needle on will Bangkok Design Week draw a record crowd this year

Officials have not yet commented, but early indicators suggest a shift is underway.

Will Bangkok Design Week draw a record crowd this year?60%

Related markets

Comments

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Napat Rattanakosinยท 4h

Volume just spiked, something's moving

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Apinya Thongchaiยท 6h

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

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Pimchanok Sombatยท 15h

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

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Preecha Ruangritยท 17h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

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Pimchanok Sombatยท 22h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

3 replies
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Somchai Jaideeยท 1d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

2 replies
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Somsak Sombatยท 1d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

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Pongsakorn Chaiyapornยท 1d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

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Ladda Suksawatยท 1d

This aged... not great

2 replies
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Panupong Thongchaiยท 2d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

2 replies
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Chotiwut Wongprasertยท 2d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

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Suchada Charoenkulยท 2d

This is way too high, fading this all day

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Ladda Suksawatยท 2d

This is way too high, fading this all day

GIF
1 replies
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Ampai Kanjanapasยท 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

GIF
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Busaba Phromwongยท 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

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Preecha Tantivejkulยท 3d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

3 replies