Asia

๐Ÿค

Will Malaysia announce a new trade agreement with Thailand this year?

ASEAN diplomacy tracker.

42.0%

Jul 5, 12:27 PM

เธฟ104.9K total volume 26 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 42%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent bilateral summit tone.

Confidence in current pricing84%

Bull case

  • Recent bilateral summit tone points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Regional trade bloc momentum could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent bilateral summit toneRegional trade bloc momentum

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Comments

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Nirun Ruangritยท 5h

This aged... not great

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Suchada Charoenkulยท 12h

This is way too high, fading this all day

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Worawit Boonmeeยท 21h

Volume just spiked, something's moving

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Preecha Tantivejkulยท 22h

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

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Chanya Sombatยท 1d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

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Sakda Rattanakosinยท 1d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

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Waraporn Srisawatยท 1d

Bought more on the dip

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Preecha Tantivejkulยท 1d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

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Nirun Ruangritยท 1d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

5 replies
๐Ÿ›บ

Suchada Srisawatยท 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

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Duangjai Tantivejkulยท 1d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

๐Ÿฆœ

Anong Sirikayaยท 1d

This aged well

6 replies
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Nichakan Amnuayยท 2d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

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Chanya Sombatยท 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

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Napat Phromwongยท 2d

This aged... not great

3 replies
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Anucha Aksornยท 2d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

3 replies
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Suriya Chotirosseraneeยท 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

3 replies
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Rungnapha Suksawatยท 2d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

GIF
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Worawit Boonmeeยท 2d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

2 replies
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Pimchanok Sombatยท 2d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

1 replies
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Sakda Tantivejkulยท 2d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

๐Ÿ›•

Ratana Boonmeeยท 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

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Kritsada Praditpongยท 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

2 replies
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Sakda Rattanakosinยท 3d

Bought more on the dip

1 replies
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Benyapa Chotirosseraneeยท 3d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

8 replies
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Suchada Charoenkulยท 4d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this