Thailand Politics

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Will the Constitutional Court accept the petition against the Ruang Rung Party for review?

Court docket watch.

38.0%

Jul 5, 12:35 PM

฿1.1M total volume 173 comments

AI Summary

Updated 37m ago

Pricing currently favors No at 38%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being precedent from similar past petitions.

Confidence in current pricing65%

Bull case

Precedent from similar past petitions points toward Yes resolving true.
Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

Political pressure on the court's calendar could flip this quickly.
Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.

Precedent from similar past petitionsPolitical pressure on the court's calendar

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Yes62%-1

No38%-3

฿3.5M vol

Comments

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Benyapa Chotirosseranee· 1d

market's asleep on this one, free money

1 replies

Will the Constitutional Court accept the petition against the Ruang Rung Party for review?

Market rules

Resolution criteria

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