Football

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Will the Thailand War Elephants qualify for the next AFF Championship final?

National team tournament tracker.

55.0%

Jul 5, 12:44 PM

฿3.9M total volume 120 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 55%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being squad form in warmup matches.

Confidence in current pricing59%

Bull case

  • Squad form in warmup matches points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Group draw difficulty could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Squad form in warmup matchesGroup draw difficulty

Related markets

Comments

🪷
🏝️

Preecha Tantivejkul· 10h

This aged... not great

🦋

Chalermchai Lohachai· 10h

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

1 replies
🍜

Waraporn Srisawat· 13h

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

🍜

Arthit Kanjanapas· 16h

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

☀️

Napat Peeranan· 17h

Volume just spiked, something's moving

2 replies
🐘

Napat Phromwong· 21h

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

🛺

Weerapong Ruangrit· 23h

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

🎋

Kritsada Praditpong· 1d

market's asleep on this one, free money

🐢

Suchada Charoenkul· 1d

This is way too high, fading this all day

🎏

Busaba Phromwong· 1d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🐅

Nirun Ruangrit· 1d

This aged well

1 replies

Weerapong Boonmee· 2d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

🍜

Arthit Kanjanapas· 2d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

2 replies
🎆

Kamon Thongchai· 2d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

3 replies
🏵️

Sakda Rattanakosin· 2d

Bought more on the dip

🏯

Chanya Kittiya· 2d

This aged well

🐘

Pongsakorn Chaiyaporn· 2d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

GIF
🌾

Malee Sombat· 2d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

2 replies
🐉

Duangjai Tantivejkul· 3d

This is way too high, fading this all day

🏵️

Ampai Srisawat· 3d

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

3 replies
🦋

Duangjai Sirikaya· 3d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

GIF
🦜

Preecha Chaiyaporn· 3d

This aged well

1 replies
🎆

Teerapat Praditpong· 3d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

☀️

Napat Peeranan· 3d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

GIF
2 replies
🌙

Weerapong Tantivejkul· 3d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🏵️

Patcharee Pattaranutaporn· 3d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

🏵️

Pimchanok Sombat· 3d

market's asleep on this one, free money

1 replies
🛕

Nutthida Peeranan· 3d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🌙

Weerapong Tantivejkul· 3d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

🎆

Thanawat Kittiya· 3d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

☀️

Napat Peeranan· 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

🦜

Anong Sirikaya· 3d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

🐅

Suchada Lohachai· 3d

This is way too high, fading this all day

🎆

Worawit Boonmee· 3d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

5 replies
🏝️

Nattapong Rattanakosin· 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced