Entertainment

๐Ÿ†

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Bow Ariyaporn or Gam Peerapat?

Award season market.

34.7%

Jul 5, 12:25 PM

เธฟ3.6M total volume 87 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 35%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being critic screening reactions.

Confidence in current pricing84%

Bull case

  • Critic screening reactions points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Box office performance this year could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Critic screening reactionsBox office performance this year

Related markets

๐Ÿ†Ent.

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Ploy Nattharika or Bank Kittisak?

Ploy Nattharika42%-3
Bank Kittisak19%-3

+1 more outcome

เธฟ4.1M vol
67
๐Ÿ†Ent.AI

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Fah Chayanit or Mai Sudarat?

Fah Chayanit32%-3
Mai Sudarat21%+5

+1 more outcome

เธฟ3.7M vol
231
๐Ÿ†Ent.AI

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Fah Chayanit or Namtan Kanokwan?

Fah Chayanit30%-3
Namtan Kanokwan33%-2

+1 more outcome

เธฟ2.8M vol
290
๐Ÿ†Ent.AI

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Ohm Sirawich or Fah Chayanit?

Ohm Sirawich42%-1
Fah Chayanit22%-1

+1 more outcome

เธฟ2.2M vol
261
๐Ÿ†Ent.

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Ohm Sirawich or Now Pattaravadee?

Ohm Sirawich48%-5
Now Pattaravadee32%-4

+1 more outcome

เธฟ849.1K vol
17

Comments

๐Ÿชท
โ˜€๏ธ

Chanya Thongchaiยท 4h

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

GIF
๐Ÿ‰

Duangjai Tantivejkulยท 11h

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

๐Ÿ›บ

Weerapong Ruangritยท 1d

Bought more on the dip

๐ŸŒพ

Anucha Pattaranutapornยท 2d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

9 replies
๐ŸŒ™

Weerapong Tantivejkulยท 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

๐Ÿต๏ธ

Anucha Aksornยท 3d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

โ˜€๏ธ

Chanya Thongchaiยท 3d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

2 replies