Entertainment

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Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Fah Chayanit or Namtan Kanokwan?

Award season market.

30.2%

Jul 5, 12:29 PM

เธฟ2.8M total volume 290 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 30%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being critic screening reactions.

Confidence in current pricing81%

Bull case

  • Critic screening reactions points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Box office performance this year could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Critic screening reactionsBox office performance this year

Related news

BBangkok Postยท 18h

Traders react as odds shift on: Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Fah Chayanit or Namtan Kanokwan?

The move follows a string of related developments that market watchers say were underpriced.

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Fah Chayanit or Namtan Kanokwan?30%

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Comments

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Chayapa Kittiyaยท 16h

This is way too high, fading this all day

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Malee Sombatยท 18h

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

3 replies
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Kritsada Praditpongยท 20h

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

GIF
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Napat Phromwongยท 22h

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

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Busaba Phromwongยท 1d

This aged well

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Kritsada Praditpongยท 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

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Suchada Amnuayยท 2d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

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Waraporn Srisawatยท 2d

This aged... not great

5 replies
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Ittipol Suriyachaiยท 2d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

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Suriya Wongprasertยท 3d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

1 replies
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Worawit Boonmeeยท 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

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Apinya Boonmeeยท 3d

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

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Darika Suksawatยท 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

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Nichakan Amnuayยท 4d

This aged well