Entertainment

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Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Fah Chayanit or Mai Sudarat?

Award season market.

32.0%

Jul 5, 12:29 PM

เธฟ3.7M total volume 231 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 32%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being critic screening reactions.

Confidence in current pricing82%

Bull case

  • Critic screening reactions points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Box office performance this year could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Critic screening reactionsBox office performance this year

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Comments

๐Ÿชท
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Patcharee Jaideeยท 13h

Volume just spiked, something's moving

1 replies
๐Ÿข

Ittipol Suriyachaiยท 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

๐Ÿฅ

Pongsakorn Chotirosseraneeยท 2d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

5 replies