Entertainment

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Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Ohm Sirawich or Now Pattaravadee?

Award season market.

48.4%

Jul 5, 12:30 PM

เธฟ849.1K total volume 17 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 48%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being critic screening reactions.

Confidence in current pricing65%

Bull case

  • Critic screening reactions points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Box office performance this year could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Critic screening reactionsBox office performance this year

Related news

RReutersยท 23h

Traders react as odds shift on: Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Ohm Sirawich or Now Pattaravadee?

A second independent source has now corroborated the initial report, adding confidence to the read.

Best Actor at this year's Suphannahong Awards: Ohm Sirawich or Now Pattaravadee?48%

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Comments

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Napat Peerananยท 2d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

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Suchada Suksawatยท 2d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

GIF
2 replies
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Apinya Thongchaiยท 3d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

6 replies