Crypto

🪙Live

Will Dogecoin trade above 1.25x its price from 30 days ago?

Volume-weighted exchange average at deadline.

57.0%

Jul 5, 12:38 PM

฿18.9M total volume 98 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 57%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent volatility regime.

Confidence in current pricing84%

Bull case

  • Recent volatility regime points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • US rate expectations could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent volatility regimeUS rate expectations

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Comments

🪷
🐘

Suchada Amnuay· 5h

Volume just spiked, something's moving

🌶️

Orawan Chaiyaporn· 15h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

5 replies
🌶️

Patcharee Amnuay· 20h

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

🌾

Anucha Pattaranutaporn· 1d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🥭

Rungnapha Suksawat· 1d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

GIF
☀️

Chanya Thongchai· 1d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

1 replies
🐉

Ladda Jaidee· 1d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

🌶️

Patcharee Amnuay· 1d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

🌾

Anucha Pattaranutaporn· 1d

This aged well

GIF
🥭

Rungnapha Suksawat· 1d

This aged... not great

1 replies
🎆

Worawit Boonmee· 2d

Bought more on the dip

3 replies
🏝️

Nirun Nakornthap· 2d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

GIF
8 replies
🐅

Chanya Sombat· 3d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

3 replies
🦜

Worawit Pattaranutaporn· 3d

This aged... not great

3 replies
🛕

Nutthida Peeranan· 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

🏝️

Preecha Tantivejkul· 3d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

🌶️

Patcharee Rattanakosin· 4d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here