Crypto

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Will Dogecoin trade below 0.85x its price from 30 days ago?

Volume-weighted exchange average at deadline.

38.0%

Jul 5, 12:32 PM

฿52.3M total volume 153 comments

AI Summary

Updated 3h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 38%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent volatility regime.

Confidence in current pricing84%

Bull case

  • Recent volatility regime points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • US rate expectations could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent volatility regimeUS rate expectations

Related news

TThe Nation· 2d

Traders react as odds shift on: Will Dogecoin trade below 0.85x its price from 30 days ago?

A second independent source has now corroborated the initial report, adding confidence to the read.

Will Dogecoin trade below 0.85x its price from 30 days ago?38%

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Comments

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Pimchanok Chaiyaporn· 15h

This is way too high, fading this all day

3 replies
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Anucha Aksorn· 20h

market's asleep on this one, free money

🥭

Duangjai Amnuay· 1d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

🏵️

Chotiwut Sombat· 2d

This aged... not great

3 replies
🎆

Chalermchai Kittiya· 2d

This is way too high, fading this all day

🌶️

Patcharee Amnuay· 2d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🐅

Chanya Sombat· 2d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

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Suchada Sombat· 3d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

🎆

Chalermchai Kittiya· 3d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

1 replies
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Darika Suksawat· 3d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

2 replies