Crypto

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Will XRP trade below 0.85x its price from 30 days ago?

Volume-weighted exchange average at deadline.

62.0%

Jul 5, 12:41 PM

฿11.6M total volume 174 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 62%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent volatility regime.

Confidence in current pricing73%

Bull case

Recent volatility regime points toward Yes resolving true.
Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

US rate expectations could flip this quickly.
Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.

Recent volatility regimeUS rate expectations

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Comments

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🦋

Chalermchai Lohachai· 2h

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

10 replies

🥭

Duangjai Amnuay· 11h

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

🦜

Suchada Wongsawang· 16h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🥭

Rungnapha Suksawat· 1d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

🎋

Kritsada Praditpong· 1d

Bought more on the dip

🦜

Worawit Pattaranutaporn· 1d

Adding this to my watchlist, waiting for a better entry

🥭

Duangjai Amnuay· 2d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🛕

Nutthida Peeranan· 2d

Bought more on the dip

🛺

Suriya Chotirosseranee· 3d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

3 replies

Will XRP trade below 0.85x its price from 30 days ago?

Market rules

Resolution criteria

Related markets

Comments