Entertainment

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Will a Thai film win an award at a major international film festival this year?

International recognition watch.

21.0%

Jul 5, 12:42 PM

เธฟ72.5K total volume 171 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 21%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being festival lineup announcements.

Confidence in current pricing61%

Bull case

  • Festival lineup announcements points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Critical reception at premieres could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Festival lineup announcementsCritical reception at premieres

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BBloombergยท 2d

Traders react as odds shift on: Will a Thai film win an award at a major international film festival this year?

Fresh data released this morning has traders re-pricing the outlook, with volume up sharply in the last few hours.

Will a Thai film win an award at a major international film festival this year?21%

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Comments

๐Ÿชท
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Suchada Charoenkulยท 10h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

GIF
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Napat Rattanakosinยท 17h

This is way too high, fading this all day

1 replies
๐Ÿœ

Waraporn Srisawatยท 17h

Whale just took a huge position, check the order book

GIF
6 replies
๐Ÿ๏ธ

Nattapong Rattanakosinยท 20h

market's asleep on this one, free money

2 replies
๐Ÿฅญ

Worawit Jaideeยท 2d

This aged... not great

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Pimchanok Lohachaiยท 3d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

6 replies
โ˜€๏ธ

Chanya Thongchaiยท 3d

Volume just spiked, something's moving