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Will Chiang Mai's air quality index exceed 150 (unhealthy) during burning season?

Northern haze season market.

76.0%

Jul 5, 12:31 PM

เธฟ93.6K total volume 315 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 76%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being cross-border crop burning reports.

Confidence in current pricing62%

Bull case

  • Cross-border crop burning reports points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Wind direction forecasts could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Cross-border crop burning reportsWind direction forecasts

Related news

KKhaosod Englishยท 1d

New data moves the needle on will Chiang Mai's air quality index exceed 150 (unhealthy) during burning season

Officials have not yet commented, but early indicators suggest a shift is underway.

Will Chiang Mai's air quality index exceed 150 (unhealthy) during burning season?76%

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Comments

๐Ÿชท
๐Ÿฆœ

Preecha Chaiyapornยท 1d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

1 replies
๐Ÿฆ‹

Duangjai Sirikayaยท 2d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

6 replies