Crypto

🪙

Will Solana trade above 1.25x its price from 30 days ago?

Volume-weighted exchange average at deadline.

65.0%

Jul 5, 12:44 PM

฿13.6M total volume 181 comments

AI Summary

Updated 1h ago

Pricing currently favors Yes at 65%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent volatility regime.

Confidence in current pricing94%

Bull case

  • Recent volatility regime points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • US rate expectations could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent volatility regimeUS rate expectations

Related news

TThe Nation· 3d

Explainer: the numbers behind "Will Solana trade above 1.25x its price from 30 days ago?"

A second independent source has now corroborated the initial report, adding confidence to the read.

Will Solana trade above 1.25x its price from 30 days ago?65%

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Comments

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🎋

Kritsada Praditpong· 4h

This aged well

🛺

Suriya Chotirosseranee· 7h

Bought more on the dip

GIF
5 replies
🌊

Sakda Tantivejkul· 10h

Bought more on the dip

6 replies
🎆

Teerapat Praditpong· 12h

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🐘

Suchada Amnuay· 15h

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

🐘

Suchada Amnuay· 17h

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

🎏

Napat Rattanakosin· 18h

Bought more on the dip

🏵️

Chotiwut Sombat· 1d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

Weerapong Boonmee· 1d

market's asleep on this one, free money

6 replies
🐘

Suchada Amnuay· 1d

Called it three days ago, screenshot this

🌶️

Orawan Chaiyaporn· 1d

The AI summary is sleeping on the bear case here

🌙

Weerapong Tantivejkul· 1d

This aged well

☀️

Napat Peeranan· 2d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

☀️

Chanya Thongchai· 2d

Bought more on the dip

🪷

Darika Suksawat· 2d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

🐘

Napat Phromwong· 2d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

8 replies
🦜

Suchada Wongsawang· 2d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

🦜

Preecha Chaiyaporn· 3d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

GIF
🌶️

Patcharee Amnuay· 3d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

3 replies
🌶️

Patcharee Rattanakosin· 3d

Locking in profit at this price, thanks for the ride

7 replies
🐢

Thanawat Peeranan· 3d

Yikes, didn't see that news coming

1 replies
🥭

Worawit Jaidee· 3d

Volume just spiked, something's moving

GIF
🐢

Suchada Charoenkul· 3d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🏯

Chanya Kittiya· 3d

Feels like a coinflip honestly

🥁

Yupa Aksorn· 3d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🍜

Arthit Kanjanapas· 4d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

GIF
1 replies