Crypto

🪙

Will XRP trade below 0.9x its price from 30 days ago?

Volume-weighted exchange average at deadline.

25.0%

Jul 5, 12:42 PM

฿15.8M total volume 223 comments

AI Summary

Updated 2h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 25%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being recent volatility regime.

Confidence in current pricing89%

Bull case

  • Recent volatility regime points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • US rate expectations could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Recent volatility regimeUS rate expectations

Related news

TThe Nation· 1d

What to know before will XRP trade below 0.9x its price from 30 days ago

A second independent source has now corroborated the initial report, adding confidence to the read.

Will XRP trade below 0.9x its price from 30 days ago?25%

Related markets

🪙CryptoAI

Will Dogecoin trade below 0.85x its price from 30 days ago?

Yes38%-4
No62%-3
฿52.3M vol
153
🪙CryptoLive

Will Solana trade below 0.9x its price from 30 days ago?

Yes36%-3
No64%-0
฿51.6M vol
161
🪙CryptoAI

Will Bitcoin trade above 1.1x its price from 30 days ago?

Yes60%+6
No40%+1
฿50.2M vol
325
🪙CryptoAI

Will Dogecoin trade above 1.1x its price from 30 days ago?

Yes35%+4
No65%+0
฿44.5M vol
40
🪙CryptoAI

Will BNB trade above 1.25x its price from 30 days ago?

Yes40%-5
No60%-3
฿38.3M vol
110

Comments

🪷
🛺

Suriya Chotirosseranee· 1d

This is way too high, fading this all day

🦋

Patcharee Jaidee· 2d

This is basically decided already, no idea why it's not at 95%+

🐉

Ladda Jaidee· 2d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

🐘

Pongsakorn Chaiyaporn· 3d

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

☀️

Chanya Thongchai· 3d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

2 replies