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Will global gold prices set a new all-time high this quarter?

Safe-haven demand tracker.

44.0%

Jul 5, 12:38 PM

฿4.1M total volume 123 comments

AI Summary

Updated 2h ago

Pricing currently favors No at 44%. Volume and recent order flow suggest the market has priced in most public information, with the largest remaining swing factor being central bank buying trends.

Confidence in current pricing82%

Bull case

  • Central bank buying trends points toward Yes resolving true.
  • Historical base rates for similar questions skew higher than current price.
  • Order flow over the last 24h has been net buyers on Yes.

Bear case

  • Dollar strength trajectory could flip this quickly.
  • Thin liquidity outside the top-of-book means the price can be misleading.
  • A key event before resolution could shift sentiment sharply.
Central bank buying trendsDollar strength trajectory

Related news

CCoconuts Bangkok· 1d

Traders react as odds shift on: Will global gold prices set a new all-time high this quarter?

Fresh data released this morning has traders re-pricing the outlook, with volume up sharply in the last few hours.

Will global gold prices set a new all-time high this quarter?44%

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Comments

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Suchada Amnuay· 14h

Feels like a coinflip honestly

2 replies
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Malee Sombat· 18h

Underrated market, more people should be trading this

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Pongsakorn Chotirosseranee· 20h

Bought more on the dip

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Patcharee Lohachai· 2d

Confidence score on the AI card looks off to me

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Duangjai Amnuay· 3d

This aged well

2 replies
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Worawit Jaidee· 3d

The resolution criteria here is actually pretty clear, good market

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Suchada Charoenkul· 3d

Anyone have a source for this? seems overpriced

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Suchada Srisawat· 3d

This aged well

2 replies